Max Armour
Chart comparing San Francisco houses’ and condos’ average sale-to-original-list-price percentages by quarter, 2018–2025.

San Francisco Real Estate Report - Q2

 San Francisco Real Estate Market – Q2 2025 Snapshot

Despite widespread economic volatility across the Bay Area this spring,

San Francisco stood out with a surprisingly resilient and robust housing market.

San Francisco quarterly median house sale prices from 2012 to Q2 2025, shown as blue bars with a 2022 peak.

        1. Home Prices on the Rise:
        •  Median house prices climbed 3.5% year-over-year, reaching their highest point since the 2022 pandemic peak.
        •  Median condo prices jumped 10% year-over-year, showing renewed strength in this segment.

Bar chart of San Francisco luxury home sales by quarter from 2020 to 2025, with a marked pandemic-era peak.

2. Strong Luxury Market:
  Sales of homes over \$5M and condos over \$3M held steady compared to Q2 2024, with expected seasonal improvement over Q1.

        •  Buyer Demand:

79% of homes and 40% of condos sold over asking price – a clear sign of competitive bidding, especially in the single-family market.
The average days on market for houses dropped to 22 days, indicating brisk activity.
   June sales volume was up significantly year-over-year, despite a dip from May.

        •  Supply & Inventory:

  Active listings dropped from May and were down year-over-year.
  New listings rose 7.5% annually in June, following typical seasonal patterns.

 

Mortgage rate chart showing weekly 30-year fixed rates from 2023 to July 2025, with policy and market annotations.

3. Market Conditions

        • Interest Rates:
            Mortgage rates continued a gradual decline, landing at 6.67% in early July, helping boost confidence.
        •  Economic Backdrop:
            Uncertainty remains elevated but is declining. Meanwhile, stock markets hit record highs, and consumer confidence is rebounding.

 

4. Outlook

If macroeconomic conditions continue to stabilize, we could see even greater buyer activity in the second half of 2025. Sellers benefit from correct pricing and strong marketing, while buyers should stay alert for well-priced opportunities and act decisively.

San Francisco 12-month rolling home sales chart, with market trends from 2005 through June 2025.

 

 

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