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National Real Estate Insights

National median home price trends since before the pandemic hit

National median home price trends since before the pandemic hit. Note the ups and downs relating to seasonal market dynamics: Median sales prices usually peak for the calendar year in June at the end of the spring selling season - when luxury home sales typically peak - and hit their low in mid-winter.

Chart of U.S. median home and condo prices from 2019 to 2025, with seasonal peaks and November 2025 figures.

Pie chart of November 2025 single-family home sales by price segment, with the largest share at $250,000–$500,000.

As is the usual seasonal trend, the number of new listings plummeted in November, and can be expected to plunge further in December. In January, new-listing activity will begin to revive and then accelerate through spring.

Bar chart of monthly new listings from 2020 to November 2025, highlighting seasonal peaks and December lows.

With the decline in new listings comes a drop in the total number of homes on the market, but inventory continues to run higher on a year-over-year basis.

Chart of U.S. active home listings from 2015 to November 2025, with seasonal peaks and a marked pandemic boom.

As the supply of listings has increased and demand has remained relatively flat, the pending ratio continues to run low compared to readings over the past 5 years - especially as compared to the frenzied pandemic-boom market - but it is not particularly low by pre-pandemic norms.

Bar chart of the U.S. pending-sale ratio from 2016 to November 2025, with pandemic and interest-rate annotations.

Sales volume also plunges during the mid-winter holidays (though some second-home markets buck this trend). Still, hundreds of thousands of homes continue to sell.

Chart of monthly U.S. home sales from January 2020 to November 2025, with seasonal peaks, winter lows, and November 2025 figures.

The number of price reductions has been falling since peaking in June (after the tariff shock and general economic volatility slammed the spring market). It is running significantly higher year over year, but that is mostly due to the increase in homes for sale. The percentage of active listings reducing asking price in November 2025, at 18%, was only 1% higher than in November 2024.

Bar chart of U.S. active-listing price reductions, January 2018–November 2025, with seasonal peaks and market-event annotations.

As the number of new listings dwindles, more of the sales taking place in the last months of the year are of older listings, which pushes up the overall days-on-market calculations. With the rush of new listings in spring - and how quickly buyers snap them up - this metric typically plunges to its lowest point of the year.

Chart of U.S. median days on market from 2011 through November 2025, showing seasonal trends and the pandemic boom.

Selected Economic Indicators:

 
Chart of weekly 30-year mortgage rates from 2023 to 2025, peaking near 7.8% before ending at 6.21%.
 
Chart of federal funds interest rates from 1981 to 2025, annotated with economic booms, crises, and Federal Reserve actions.
 
S&P 500 chart from January 2024 to December 2025, showing a tariff-related dip and a new all-time high.
 
Chart of the S&P 500 CAPE ratio from 1985 to 2025, showing its 2025 peak near 40 and historical average near 25.
 
Chart of U.S. unemployment from 2000 to 2025, with a pandemic spike and a November 2025 rate of 4.6%.
 
Infographic summarizing U.S. household demographics and median income by education, with comparisons between 1975 and 2025.

 

 

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